Page 11 - BOSS Today Issue 26
P. 11

be flat in Q4.                “It should be
                                                              ✱  Employment levels
                                                                 continued to decline in Q3;   required read-
                                                                 a trend expected to persist
                                                                 in Q4.                   ing for industry
                                                              ✱  Average prices improved     executives who
                                                                 in Q3 but are forecast to slip
                                                                 slightly in Q4.           care about the
                                                              ✱  Employee and distribution
                                                                 costs showed some increases,        business
                                                                 whilst energy exhibited          climate in
                                                                 some decreases; cost
                                                                 expectations, with the         which their
                                                                 exception of rising staff costs,
                                                                 are subdued.                       firms are
                                                              ✱  After a long period of          operating.”
                                                                 shrinkage, average stock
                                                                 levels have levelled off; stock
                                                                 turn improved in Q3.              Kyle Jardine,
                                                              ✱  Margins continued to be         BOSS Research
                                                                 positive, just; the forecast          Manager
                                                                 for margins remains negative.
                                                              ✱  Investment intentions over
                                                                 the next 12 months are             “The vast
                                                                 strong.
                                                              ✱  The level of bad debt is a      majority of
                                                                 concern but the incidence of
                                                                 late payment appears to have    respondents
                                                                 stabilised.
                                                                                                predicted a
                                                              BOSS Outlook also features:             positive
       (48%, compared to 53% in Q2)   has been running for just over   ✱  UK headline economic data.
       and, in third place once again,   two years now.  However, in this   ✱  CBI forecasts and assessment.   forecast
       ‘Access To Skilled Staff (30% in   time it has developed into an   ✱  Paper sector consumption    balance for
       both Q2 and Q3).           important resource for those      statistics from the
         Some threats appear to   involved in the industry. It should      Confederation of Paper     Q4 2014.”
       have diminished significantly   be required reading for industry      Industries and a graphic
       in Q3: ‘Paper Cost/Prices’ is   executives who care about the      paper price index from
       now a concern for only 11%   business climate in which their      PPL Research Ltd.
       of respondents (compared to   firms are operating.     ✱  Commentary by
       29% in Q2), and fears about the   The current report has a lot to      Martin Wilde Associates Ltd
       ‘Survival of Major Suppliers’ has   offer – in particular on costs,   ✱  Comment on the energy
       also decreased from 27% in Q2   investment and pay reviews      sector from Schneider
       to 11% in Q3.  The only issue to   – and sits well alongside the      Electric.
       register a significant increase in   detailed product sector BOSS/GfK   ✱  Advertising sector data
       citations this quarter was ‘Late   Market Tracking reports that are      and analysis from the
       Payment by Customers’; this   also available to BOSS members      Advertising Association/Warc
       was noted by only 10% in Q2   on our website.”            Expenditure Report and the
       but by as many as 21% in Q3,   Other key findings of the      IPA Bellwether Report.
       suggesting that this is a widening   report include:
       problem.                   ✱  Sales volumes took a turn for  n BOSS OUTLOOK IS FREE
         Kyle Jardine, BOSS Research       the worse in Q3; the Q4     TO BOSS MEMBERS AND
       Manager, commented: “BOSS      forecast is for relatively   AVAILABLE FROM THE
       Outlook is a relatively new survey      subdued growth.  BOSS WEBSITE: www.
       of the state of trade in the office   ✱  Output growth nosedived   bossfederation.com/outlook/
       supplies and services sector – it      in Q3 and is expected to

                                                                                          February/March 2015 | BOSS TODAY  11


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