Page 12 - BOSS Today Issue 4
P. 12

Industry watch
















       BUSINESS






       TRENDS
















       A look at the industry’s recent experience – and what lies ahead



              iven the fact that we   capacity: and the total figure is   for cautious optimism, from a   some concerns remain that
              have only recently and   well above the five-year average.   number of indicators.  need to be addressed.
       Gtentatively emerged       Pressure remains on paper and                             Undoubtedly, the availability
       from one of the most severe   board prices, and indeed more   Rising confidence   of bank lending remains
       recessions in living memory,   increases are expected here.   Advertising spend is always a   a concern: and where it
       the industry is actually in better   Profitability has been hit   good barometer of business   is available, the cost can
       shape than many pundits might   by weaker selling prices, and   confidence. The total UK   sometimes be prohibitive. If the
       have expected.             there are still intense pressures   adspend’s annual average   industry is to invest in its future,
         Business performance over   on sales margins. Paper price   change was negative since Q2   something needs to be done
       the winter was not as bad as   inflation has fallen, but this is   of 2008; this is forecast to turn   to free up this lending liquidity.
       forecast. Many firms experienced   likely to pick up again in the   positive again for the first time   Perhaps government initiatives
       no further downturn, while   near future.              in Q3 of this year, with a further   will bring pressure to bear on
       some managed to improve.     This is not a surprising   gain in Q4.               the banks in the months ahead.
         It would be naive to assume   scenario to have in place   In addition, there are signs
       that all our problems are over.   following the torrid economic   of a more benign environment.   Raising the game
       Many companies are still   climate of the last two years.   Domestic demand is picking   In terms of environmental and
       operating significantly under   Nevertheless, there are reasons   up. Exports are also performing   sustainability credentials, the
                                                              better than expected.      stationery and office supplies
                                                              Employment in the industry has   sector is still too often seen
                                                              improved considerably from the   as dragging its feet. Some
                                                              low point of mid-2009.     of this is undoubtedly due
                                                                Another promising portent   to misconceptions or even
                                                              is the growing number of firms   misinformation, and we need
                                                              who are committed or plan to   to set the record straight
                                                              increase their investment in   wherever possible. But we
                                                              plant and machinery.       also need to help companies
                                                                                         within the industry to raise their
                                                              Future challenges          game, through environmental
                                                              As the recovery strengthens, it   accreditations and other
                                                              is reasonable to suppose that   assistance.
                                                              trading conditions will improve   In the area of postal and
                                                              across the board. However,   other public services, the BOSS

       12  BOSS TODAY | June 2010
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